Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.036830 0.040093 0.043379 0.046929 0.050651 0.054431 0.058555
2025-11-09 0.031120 0.035902 0.040880 0.046424 0.052403 0.058635 0.065600
2025-11-16 0.026877 0.032720 0.038987 0.046154 0.054070 0.062497 0.072098
2025-11-23 0.024571 0.031345 0.038799 0.047512 0.057320 0.067936 0.080209
2025-11-30 0.022534 0.030035 0.038487 0.048560 0.060091 0.072749 0.087563
2025-12-07 0.020610 0.028661 0.037939 0.049198 0.062284 0.076829 0.094037
2025-12-14 0.018673 0.027100 0.037028 0.049290 0.063747 0.080004 0.099428
2025-12-21 0.017549 0.026427 0.037088 0.050446 0.066382 0.084471 0.106254
2025-12-28 0.015609 0.024586 0.035613 0.049667 0.066661 0.086157 0.109840
2026-01-04 0.014354 0.023528 0.035025 0.049891 0.068071 0.089112 0.114855
2026-01-11 0.013437 0.022846 0.034851 0.050576 0.069996 0.092642 0.120519
2026-01-18 0.012595 0.022204 0.034680 0.051225 0.071847 0.096065 0.126048
2026-01-25 0.010835 0.020196 0.032677 0.049533 0.070828 0.096092 0.127622
2026-02-01 0.009704 0.019000 0.031682 0.049072 0.071290 0.097867 0.131252
2026-02-08 0.008751 0.017992 0.030883 0.048823 0.071982 0.099898 0.135175
2026-02-15 0.008441 0.017932 0.031367 0.050241 0.074770 0.104479 0.142164
2026-02-22 0.008050 0.017714 0.031613 0.051332 0.077137 0.108548 0.148544
2026-03-01 0.007556 0.017298 0.031552 0.051995 0.078947 0.111929 0.154096
2026-03-08 0.006934 0.016624 0.031091 0.052092 0.080011 0.114378 0.158513
2026-03-15 0.006668 0.016524 0.031445 0.053288 0.082493 0.118585 0.165075
2026-03-22 0.005884 0.015476 0.030365 0.052483 0.082344 0.119500 0.167605
2026-03-29 0.005428 0.014963 0.030052 0.052715 0.083536 0.122080 0.172169
2026-04-05 0.005122 0.014693 0.030089 0.053423 0.085346 0.125431 0.177680